Lack of long runs hurts in early losses
JOHN MOREDICH
Tucson Citizen
Big plays.
The Wildcats aren't getting them from their rushing attack - and opponents are. Heading into tomorrow's game at No. 12-ranked California, the Wildcats' longest run this year is 18 yards by Mike Bell against Northern Arizona. Arizona gave up a 59-yard touchdown run to Utah's Brent Casteel and a 25-yard scamper to NAU's Philo Sanchez, a former Sunnyside High star. And the Cats saw five Purdue players bust off runs of 14-plus yards. "We have to find ways to break tackles and get big plays," UA offensive coordinator Mike Canales said. UA's running backs are averaging 101 yards a game, compared to opponents' 202. At least the Cats are getting long gains through the air. They're averaging 275 yards a game, with 12 passes overall of 15-plus yards. "Teams are putting guys up there to stop the run and that is why we are able to throw the ball," UA coach Mike Stoops said. "But we still need to find a way to run the football." Coaches talked during fall workouts about using a three-pronged attack with Bell, Gilbert Harris and Chris Henry. Bell is averaging 88 yards a game, but the others have not fared well. Harris is averaging 7 yards per game. Henry has gained 33 total yards while fumbling three times. Henry, after fumbling twice against Utah and once against NAU, did not get a carry in the last game with Purdue. "I am kind of disappointed Chris has gotten off to such a slow start, but we keep trying to work him in there," Stoops said. "All three should get carries. I think we have missed holes this year."
UA offense vs. Cal defense
The Bears have the Pac-10's top scoring defense, allowing 13.2 points per game. Cal has been stingy against the run, giving up 106 yards an outing. It will be critical for the Wildcats to establish Bell early and control the clock and limit the amount of touches Cal's offense gets. That can only happen if Bell, not quarterback Richard Kovalcheck, becomes the focus of the offense.
Advantage: Even
UA defense vs. Cal offense
This seems like a mismatch with the way the Bears are running the ball. Cal is averaging almost 300 yards per game on the ground. Getting end Copeland Bryan and linebacker Dane Krogstad back helps, but the Wildcats can't afford to miss arm tackles this week and abandon their specific gaps.
Advantage: Cal
Special teams
Arizona's Danny Baugher, the country's top punter with a 51.8-yard average, could be a huge help in pinning the Bears back. He better be aware of Cal punt returner Tim Mixon, who is fifth nationally with a 24.7 yard return clip.
Advantage: Arizona
The X factor
Cal has played well and showcased its considerable depth. But it has faced teams with a 3-13 combined record: Sacramento State, Washington, Illinois and New Mexico State. UA has faced stronger teams in Utah and Purdue, nearly beating both.
Advantage: Arizona
The bottom line
Cal has too many talented runners behind what may be the nation's best offensive line. The Wildcats need to play perfectly.
Prediction: California 38, Arizona 20
No comments:
Post a Comment